I’ll Regret Saying This (TSLA 420)

I’ll probably regret it, but I’m going to make a stock call: Tesla will be above $420 before the end of 2019. Tesla is undervalued and I can’t see how the market mispricing can persist much longer. Car sales are good, and car sales are a means to sustain, but the value is in the […]

Recent Mistakes

When I began investing in 2011, I made every mistake known to man. Like most young investors, I was ignorant, overconfident and naive.  The only thing I had going for me was lack of money. Pissing away 45% of my portfolio meant about $500; a lot for a college student, but nothing if you consider […]

Q4 2018 Investor Letter

January 9th, 2019 For the fourth quarter of 2018, Shaperfunds generated a total return of -7.32%, versus a -13.97% return for the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index. The out-performance in the quarter was, in large part, due to the out-performance of the largest holding, Tesla Inc (TSLA), which was not always the case in 2018. […]

Portfolio Update 9.19.18

Return Since Inception, 12.31.14: 59.21% Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Div Adj Return Since 12.31.14: 52.38% Return YTD: 6.12% Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Div Adj Return YTD: 10.11% It was been a wonderful couple of years balancing my love for value investing with world changing technology. The style split works out to be about 50/50 of […]

Spotify is Uniquely Positioned to Challenge Big Tech

I recently read Scott Galloway’s book, The Four: The Hidden DNA of Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google. The book breaks down what it takes to become one of the largest and most influential companies in the world. It’s both fascinating and terrifying. We’ll skip the terrifying aspects for now. According to Professor Galloway’s research, several […]

Are Stocks Overpriced?

The average S&P 500 PE Ratio is 25.87, 65% greater than its long-term average of 15.68. The Shiller PE ratio, or cyclically adjusted PE ratio, sits at 32.65, 100% above its long-term average of 16.8, and the 14 day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 72. By these metrics, it’s not a great time to be […]